Ильинский А.И. Системная динамика, агентное моделирование и сценарный анализ как инструменты прогнозирования потребности в квалифицированных кадрах / Ильинский А.И., Горошникова Т.А. // Гуманитарные науки. – 2016. – №4(24). — Свободный доступ из сети Интернет (чтение, печать, копирование). — <URL:http://elib.fa.ru/art2016/bv4145.pdf>.
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Period
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Read
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Print
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Copy
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Open
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Total
|
|
Year 2018
|
Quarter 1
|
January
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
|
February
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
|
March
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
|
Quarter 2
|
April
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
3
|
|
May
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
|
June
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
|
Quarter 3
|
July
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
3
|
|
August
|
4
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
9
|
|
September
|
4
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
5
|
|
Quarter 4
|
October
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
|
November
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
|
December
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
|
Year 2019
|
Quarter 1
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January
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
7
|
|
February
|
6
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
6
|
|
March
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
|
Quarter 2
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April
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
|
May
|
2
|
0
|
8
|
0
|
10
|
|
June
|
3
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
4
|
|
Quarter 3
|
July
|
8
|
0
|
6
|
0
|
14
|
|
August
|
4
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
9
|
|
September
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
|
Quarter 4
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October
|
5
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
6
|
|
November
|
2
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
5
|
|
December
|
5
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
7
|
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Year 2020
|
Quarter 1
|
January
|
6
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
11
|
|
February
|
4
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
5
|
|
March
|
5
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
7
|
|
Quarter 2
|
April
|
3
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
4
|
|
May
|
4
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
8
|
|
June
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
4
|
|
Quarter 3
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July
|
5
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
9
|
|
August
|
5
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
5
|
|
September
|
5
|
0
|
15
|
0
|
20
|
|
Quarter 4
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October
|
6
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
9
|
|
November
|
4
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
6
|
|
December
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
4
|
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Year 2021
|
Quarter 1
|
January
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
4
|
|
February
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
|
March
|
5
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
9
|
|
Quarter 2
|
April
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
|
May
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
7
|
|
June
|
6
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
8
|
|
Quarter 3
|
July
|
8
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
11
|
|
August
|
10
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
15
|
|
September
|
6
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
10
|
|
Quarter 4
|
October
|
6
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
11
|
|
November
|
12
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
14
|
|
December
|
8
|
0
|
6
|
0
|
14
|
|
Year 2022
|
Quarter 1
|
January
|
6
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
7
|
|
February
|
9
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
14
|
|
March
|
10
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
12
|
|
Quarter 2
|
April
|
10
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
12
|
|
May
|
8
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
12
|
|
June
|
12
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
13
|
|
Quarter 3
|
July
|
13
|
0
|
6
|
0
|
19
|
|
August
|
10
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
13
|
|
September
|
13
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
14
|
|
Quarter 4
|
October
|
9
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
12
|
|
November
|
12
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
13
|
|
December
|
13
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
14
|
|
Year 2023
|
Quarter 1
|
January
|
18
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
18
|
|
February
|
7
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
9
|
|
March
|
6
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
8
|
|
Quarter 2
|
April
|
5
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
7
|
|
May
|
7
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
9
|
|
June
|
4
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
5
|
|
Quarter 3
|
July
|
6
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
11
|
|
August
|
3
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
|
September
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
3
|
|
Quarter 4
|
October
|
5
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
5
|
|
November
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
7
|
|
December
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
7
|
|
Year 2024
|
Quarter 1
|
January
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
|
February
|
6
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
8
|
|
March
|
3
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
8
|
|
Quarter 2
|
April
|
7
|
0
|
9
|
0
|
16
|
|
May
|
8
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
13
|
|
Total
|
398
|
0
|
198
|
0
|
596
|
